ISW: Russians Prepare Offensive

• 15.01.2024, 8:46

The occupiers are waiting for frozen ground.

The Russian occupiers are probably preparing offensive operations in the east in the coming weeks, but now they are waiting for the time when the ground will freeze.

According to American analysts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the enemy will not be able to make significant breakthroughs in the front line due to a lack of forces and personnel. The Russian media wrote that the new offensive should start from January 12 to February 2.

At the same time, literary critic and alternative historian Sergei Pereslegin is concerned that the Russian Federation does not have enough manpower to conduct large-scale offensives. The occupiers can only conduct local tactical maneuvers with their current forces.

The former head of Roscosmos, Dmitry Rogozin, said that the front line in the West of the Zaporizhzhya region is "buzzing like a bee hive" due to the large number of Ukrainian drones operating. Ukrainian drones are massively and accurately hitting targets and complicating the rotation of Russian manpower.

According to the ISW assessment, sub-zero temperatures in Ukraine are still holding back operations at the front, but when the ground freezes, the terrain will become more favorable for mechanized maneuver warfare.

“ISW continues to assess that Russian forces will likely try to sustain or intensify localized offensive operations throughout eastern Ukraine in an attempt to seize and retain the initiative regardless of winter weather and terrain conditions. ISW also assesses, however, that Russian forces will be unable to make operationally significant breakthroughs," experts are convinced.